Prediction of cerebrovascular complications of coronary artery bypass grafting in patients without significant stenosis of the carotid arteries

Introduction. Аpproximately 20% of all patients referred for coronary bypass surgery (CABG) have hemodynamically insignificant carotid artery stenoses. It is known that a decrease in the elasticity of the walls of the arteries of the brain due to atherosclerosis is a risk factor for cerebrovascular complications in cardiac surgery. The purpose of the work. Construction of prognostic models determining the probability of decompensation of chronic cerebral ischemia (CIG) and the development of early postoperative cognitive dysfunction (POCD) in patients with hemodynamically insignificant carotid artery stenosis in the hospital period of CABG performed under conditions of artificial circulation.

Material and methods. 58 patients with < 50% carotid artery stenosis were examined, age – 56.2 [52.0; 63.0] years. Neurological, neuropsychological and laboratory-instrumental examinations were performed 2–3 days before and 8–9 days after the operation. The degree of narrowing of the carotid arteries was determined by color duplex scanning. Regression and ROC analyses were performed.

Results. Decompensation of HIGM on day 8–9 of CABG was detected in 51.7%, early POCD – in 63.8% of patients. The prognostic criteria for the decompensation of the CIG and the development of early POCD were: a long history of arterial hypertension, low myocardial contractility, estimated by the preoperative index «left ventricular ejection fraction», a low average value of plasma glucose in the intraoperative period and the development of a systemic inflammatory reaction, estimated on the SOFA scale of «5 or more points» in 1–2 days after CABG.

Conclusion. With the help of the obtained prognostic models, it is possible to stratify the probability of decompensation of HIGM and the development of early POCD in order to prescribe preventive treatment in a timely manner.

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